Extended outlooks are more general in nature and higher level than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.
Click here for animations of the coming week’s weather, updated daily.
Big Picture this week into next weekend:
- Tuesday leads off with big storms on both coasts
- Major storm will bring more widespread flooding to California and feet of snow to the Sierras.
- Strong nor’easter brings 1-2 feet of snow and wind to much of New York and interior New England
- The California storm will be with us through the end of the week
- It tracks through the Four Corners States Wednesday, the Plains on Thursday and into the Great Lakes on Friday.
- Snow for the Upper Midwest and snow likely along the Front Range on Wednesday and Thursday along I-25 from Cheyenne to Albuquerque. Windy too.
- California stays mostly dry Wednesday through Saturday.
- Maybe some severe weather Thursday for eastern Texas and the lower Mississippi Valley.
- Weekend rains for Florida.
- Warmer than normal in New England. Near average temperatures over south Texas. Most of the rest of the country will be cooler than normal.
- Wetter than normal (again) for the Rockies and all points west. Wet also for the Great Lakes, New York and New England, and Florida.
- Drier than normal across the Plains, the Midwest and the Mid-Atlantic region.
Outlook for late March and early April (a 2-4 week outlook is by definition low confidence!):
- Slowly drying out across the West, but occasional days of rain and snow continue.
- Some hints that the Southeast will have a wet end to March.
- Stubbornly cool temperatures remain locked in over the US through the end of the month (yes, the Groundhog is laughing at us).
- Perhaps April will start off warmer than average across the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
- But the West remains cooler than average. Given the snowpack, no one wants a hot spring and the flooding that would create.
Details (courtesy of the National Weather Service):
- will be back on Tuesday the 14th
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Rain and snow through Monday morning 20 March 
Flash Flood Risk Tuesday 14 March 
Wind gusts Tuesday 14 March 
Likelihood of winter weather impacting RV travel Tuesday 14 March 
Wind gusts Wednesday afternoon 15 March 
Likelihood of winter weather impacting RV travel Wednesday 15 March 
Wind gusts Thursday afternoon 16 March 
Likelihood of winter weather impacting RV travel Thursday 16 March 
Likelihood of winter weather impacting RV travel Friday 17 March 
Likelihood of winter weather impacting RV travel Saturday 18 March 
Snowfall accumulation through Sunday 19 March 
Total precipitation amounts through Sunday 19 March 
Expected precipitation as a percentage of normal through Sunday 19 March 
Temperature difference from normal through Sunday 19 March
