Extended outlooks are more general in nature and higher level than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.

Click here for animations of the coming week’s weather, updated daily.

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Big Picture this week into next weekend:

• Tuesday leads off with big storms on both coasts
  • Major storm will bring more widespread flooding to California and feet of snow to the Sierras.
  • Strong nor’easter brings 1-2 feet of snow and wind to much of New York and interior New England
• The California storm will be with us through the end of the week
  • It tracks through the Four Corners States Wednesday, the Plains on Thursday and into the Great Lakes on Friday.
  • Snow for the Upper Midwest and snow likely along the Front Range on Wednesday and Thursday along I-25 from Cheyenne to Albuquerque. Windy too.
• California stays mostly dry Wednesday through Saturday.
• Maybe some severe weather Thursday for eastern Texas and the lower Mississippi Valley.
• Weekend rains for Florida.
• Warmer than normal in New England. Near average temperatures over south Texas. Most of the rest of the country will be cooler than normal.
• Wetter than normal (again) for the Rockies and all points west. Wet also for the Great Lakes, New York and New England, and Florida.
• Drier than normal across the Plains, the Midwest and the Mid-Atlantic region.

Outlook for late March and early April (a 2-4 week outlook is by definition low confidence!):

• Slowly drying out across the West, but occasional days of rain and snow continue.
• Some hints that the Southeast will have a wet end to March.
• Stubbornly cool temperatures remain locked in over the US through the end of the month (yes, the Groundhog is laughing at us).
• Perhaps April will start off warmer than average across the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
• But the West remains cooler than average. Given the snowpack, no one wants a hot spring and the flooding that would create.