Planning to travel this week? Here’s what could impact your route.
- Heavy rain threatens much of New Mexico today and Wednesday, with local totals over 4 inches, while flash-flood concerns linger in parts of the state on Thursday.
- A persistent Nor’easter will generate strong winds and coastal flooding from New Jersey through Virginia and North Carolina Wednesday through Friday, inundating vulnerable roads, with 2 to 3 feet possible along the Outer Banks. New England will feel the effects of this storm throughout the weekend.
- Ongoing flooding and additional heavy rain may disrupt travel from southeastern Ohio and West Virginia into southwestern Pennsylvania today and Wednesday.
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Significant travel weather for the next 2-3 days.
Weather Impacts Pacific:
— No significant weather impacts to travels expected today or Wednesday.
Weather Impacts Mountain:
– Central and northern Utah: An isolated severe-weather threat is in place today, with isolated supercells capable of hail and severe wind gusts. Routes potentially affected: I-15, I-70, I-80, I-84, US-6, US-30, US-40, US-50, US-89, US-189, US-191.
— Southwestern and south-central Colorado, including the Southwest San Juan Mountains, San Juan River Basin and eastern San Juan Mountains above 10,000 feet: A Flood Watch is in effect from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday evening. Repeated moderate to heavy rain could flood rivers, creeks, streams and other low-lying areas, with a few inches possible in southwestern Colorado. Routes potentially affected: US-84, US-160, US-550.
— Southern Colorado and much of New Mexico: Today, a significant flash-flood threat centers on south-central and southwestern New Mexico, where 2 to 4 inches could cause scattered to numerous flash floods. Wednesday, the broader threat reaches southern Colorado and most of New Mexico, with a significant flash-flood threat in eastern New Mexico and localized 3 to 5 inches; a flash-flood threat remains over parts of New Mexico Thursday. Routes potentially affected: I-10, I-25, I-40, US-50, US-54, US-56, US-60, US-62, US-64, US-70, US-82, US-84, US-85, US-87, US-160, US-180, US-191, US-285, US-287, US-380, US-385, US-400, US-412, US-550.
— Much of New Mexico and Far West Texas, including the Chuska, Sangre de Cristo, Sacramento and Guadalupe Mountains, the Rio Grande valleys, Santa Fe, Albuquerque, the Bootheel, El Paso and Hudspeth County: Flood Watches cover the region from noon today through Wednesday, lasting into late Wednesday night near the Guadalupe Mountains and Far West Texas. Repeated torrential storms may flood arroyos, low-water crossings, streets, rivers and burn scars; rates over 2 inches per hour and localized totals over 4 inches are possible in southern, central and eastern New Mexico. Routes potentially affected: I-10, I-25, I-40, US-54, US-56, US-60, US-62, US-64, US-70, US-82, US-84, US-87, US-90, US-180, US-285, US-380, US-491, US-550.
Weather Impacts Central:
— Southwestern Kansas and western Texas, including the Texas Panhandle, South Plains and Far West Texas: Wednesday brings an excessive-rainfall threat across southwestern Kansas and western Texas, with a significant flash-flood threat focused on northwestern Texas. A flash-flood threat continues Thursday across the Texas Panhandle, South Plains and Far West Texas as repeated storms may produce flash flooding. Routes potentially affected: I-10, I-20, I-27, I-40, US-50, US-54, US-56, US-60, US-62, US-64, US-70, US-82, US-84, US-87, US-90, US-160, US-180, US-285, US-287, US-380, US-385, US-400, US-412.
— Southwestern Texas, including the Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands and Rio Grande Valley of eastern Hudspeth County: A Flood Watch is in effect from noon today through Wednesday evening. Scattered thunderstorms may produce torrential rain and flooding of streams, low-lying areas and low-water crossings. Routes potentially affected: I-10, US-62, US-180.
— Western Tennessee and southeastern parts of central Tennessee, central and northeastern Mississippi, and central and northern Alabama: An isolated severe-weather threat is in place today, with isolated severe wind gusts possible. Routes potentially affected: I-20, I-22, I-24, I-55, I-59, I-65, I-85.
Weather Impacts East:
— A small portion of northwestern Georgia, including southeastern Murray, northeastern Gordon and southwestern Gilmer counties: A FLASH FLOOD WARNING is in effect until noon. Radar indicates 1 to 2.5 inches has fallen, with another 1 to 2 inches possible; flash flooding of creeks, streets, highways, underpasses and other low-lying areas is ongoing or expected shortly. Routes potentially affected: US-76.
— Southeastern Ohio and a small portion of west-central West Virginia, including Athens, Gallia, Jackson, Meigs, Morgan, Vinton and Washington counties in Ohio and Jackson, Mason and Wood counties in West Virginia: Flood Warnings continue this morning, with numerous roads closed and significant flooding along the Shade River near Chester; most warnings run until 9 a.m., while central Washington County remains warned until 2 p.m. Between 2.5 and 3.5 inches fell in northern Jackson, northwestern Meigs and northern Vinton counties. Routes potentially affected: I-77, US-50.
— East-central and southeastern Ohio, western, north-central and central West Virginia, and southwestern Pennsylvania: Flood Watches remain in effect through Wednesday morning as additional rounds of slow-moving heavy rain may cause flash flooding. East-central Ohio, north-central West Virginia and southwestern Pennsylvania could receive another 1 to 2 inches on average, with locally higher totals. Routes potentially affected: I-64, I-68, I-70, I-76, I-77, I-79.
— Eastern Kentucky, East Tennessee, central and western West Virginia, southern Virginia, central and northern North Carolina and northern South Carolina: A flash-flood threat today covers northeastern Tennessee, central and western West Virginia, southern Virginia, central and northern North Carolina and northern South Carolina. Wednesday’s flash-flood threat shifts toward eastern Kentucky, East Tennessee, southwestern West Virginia and far southwestern Virginia, where slow-moving storms may cause flash flooding. Routes potentially affected: I-20, I-40, I-64, I-74, I-75, I-79, I-81, I-85, I-87, I-95.
— East Tennessee, far southwestern Virginia, central and western North Carolina, northern South Carolina and northern Georgia: An isolated severe-weather threat is in place today, with isolated severe wind gusts possible. Routes potentially affected: I-20, I-24, I-26, I-40, I-59, I-73, I-74, I-75, I-77, I-81, I-85.
— Parts of Maryland and coastal portions of eastern Virginia, including the Maryland Beaches, Inland Worcester, Dorchester, Wicomico and Somerset counties and Virginia’s Accomack and Northampton counties: Coastal Flood Advisories run from this afternoon into Wednesday, followed by Coastal Flood Watches Wednesday afternoon or evening through late Thursday night. Up to 1 foot of inundation is expected during the advisories and 1 to 2 feet is possible during the watches, with road closures, low-lying property flooding and shoreline erosion; the Maryland Beaches may also see 8- to 11-foot surf. Routes potentially affected: US-13, US-50.
— Coastal portions of central and southern New Jersey and eastern Delaware, including eastern Monmouth County and the Delaware Beaches: A Wind Advisory is in effect Wednesday from 6 a.m. to midnight. Northeast winds of 25 to 35 mph may gust to 45 mph, with downed tree limbs and isolated power outages possible. Routes potentially affected: US-40, DE-1.
— Coastal New Jersey and eastern Delaware, including Ocean, Atlantic, Cape May and southeastern Burlington counties in New Jersey and the Delaware Beaches, Kent County and inland Sussex County in Delaware: Coastal Flood Advisories are in effect late today, followed by Coastal Flood Watches Wednesday afternoon through late Thursday night. Inundation of one-half to 1 foot is expected today and 1 to 2 feet is possible during the watch, flooding many coastal, bayside and tidal roads; the beaches also face 6- to 12-foot surf, dangerous rip currents and significant erosion. Routes potentially affected: US-9, US-13, US-40, US-113, DE-1.
— Eastern Virginia, from Westmoreland, Northumberland and Essex south through Gloucester, York and the James River communities to Newport News, Norfolk, Chesapeake, Suffolk and Virginia Beach, including Prince George and Charles City: Coastal Flood Advisories begin today and continue into Wednesday with up to 1 foot of inundation. Coastal Flood Watches begin late tonight or Wednesday and continue into late Thursday or Friday morning: 2 to 3 feet is possible at Virginia Beach and around Surry, James City, Newport News and Isle of Wight; 1 to 3 feet from Chesapeake and Norfolk north through Gloucester and Westmoreland; and 1 to 2 feet near Prince George and Charles City. Routes potentially affected: I-64, I-85, I-95, US-13, US-17, US-58, US-60, US-360, US-460.
— Coastal portions of eastern North Carolina, including eastern Currituck County, the Northern Outer Banks, Ocracoke Island and Hatteras Island: Coastal Flood Watches begin Wednesday. Eastern Currituck could see 1 to 3 feet of inundation through late Thursday night, while the Outer Banks could see 2 to 3 feet through Friday evening, with the greatest impacts during Thursday evening and Friday morning high tides; 8- to 12-foot surf and erosion are also possible. Routes potentially affected: US-64, US-158, US-264, NC-12.
— West-central Florida, including Citrus, Levy and Marion counties near Dunnellon: A Flood Warning continues until further notice along the Withlacoochee River at Dunnellon. Minor flooding is occurring at the 28.2-foot flood stage and is forecast to remain steady, flooding docks and boat ramps in Citrus and Marion counties. Routes potentially affected: US-41.
Tropical Weather Outlook for the next 7 days:
— The open Atlantic, 570 miles southwest of the Azores: Tropical Storm Fay has 40 mph winds and is moving southwest at 9 mph. Fay will likely become a post-tropical remnant low today, with no U.S. impacts indicated.
— The eastern Pacific, 1,455 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California: Tropical Storm Odalys has 65 mph winds and could become a hurricane later today or tonight while turning east-northeast, with no U.S. impacts indicated.
— The eastern Pacific, 215 miles south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico: Category 4 Hurricane Polo has 150 mph winds and could reach Category 5 strength today while remaining just offshore of southwestern Mexico. Coastal Guerrero and Michoacán could receive 4 to 8 inches of rain, locally 12 inches, with life-threatening flooding, mudslides and dangerous surf through Thursday.
Extended Hazard Outlook
Outlook Thursday September 24th through Monday September 28th:
— Thursday, September 24 through Friday, September 25: Southeastern Colorado and most of New Mexico into adjacent southwestern Kansas, northwestern Oklahoma, and northwestern Texas: Heavy rain may create localized flooding and difficult travel. Major highways potentially affected include I-10, I-25, I-40.
— Friday, September 25 through Saturday, September 26: Northeastern North Carolina through eastern Virginia, southeastern Maryland and Delaware into southeastern New Jersey: Strong winds may create locally difficult driving. Major highways potentially affected include I-64.
— Friday, September 25 through Saturday, September 26: Southern New England, with adjacent areas from northeastern New Jersey and southeastern New York into southwestern Maine: Heavy rain may create localized flooding and reduced visibility. Major highways potentially affected include I-84, I-87, I-90, I-91, I-95.
— Friday, September 25 through Saturday, September 26: Much of Massachusetts, most of Rhode Island, northeastern Connecticut, southeastern New Hampshire, and southwestern Maine: Strong winds may create locally difficult driving. Major highways potentially affected include I-90, I-95.
Extended Outlook September 29th through October 5th:
— Tuesday, September 29 through Monday, October 5: From Oklahoma and eastern Texas through the Lower Mississippi Valley and central Gulf Coast into Florida and southern Georgia, with a small extension into southwestern Missouri: Heavy precipitation may develop, creating localized flooding and difficult travel. Major highways potentially affected include I-4, I-10, I-20, I-30, I-40, I-55, I-65, I-75, I-95.
Confidence in the Extended Outlook:
Confidence is average overall. Large-scale agreement is generally good early, but there is meaningful uncertainty in the exact position of the nor’easter and therefore in the placement of heavier rain and stronger winds. Later in the outlook, confidence remains average, despite model differences persisting over the contiguous United States.
Looking for real-time road conditions? Here’s a link, courtesy of the Federal Highway Administration, to all the individual State 511 websites.
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Weather Maps and National Outlooks
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