Tropical update for the western and central Gulf of Mexico a.m. Wednesday 25 August 2021

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  • There are no tropical storm watches, warnings, or advisories currently in effect.

As of Wednesday morning, a tropical wave is moving through the central Caribbean Sea. As this disturbance moves to the west and northwest, it is likely to become a tropical depression by the weekend as it enters the western Gulf of Mexico.

Currently conditions are favorable for any such system to strengthen further into a tropical storm or even hurricane. The computer models that are most reliable in forecasting these type systems are starting to converge on a track that indicates the greatest risk from this potential storm will likely be somewhere along the MS, LA and northern and central TX coasts.

If this system develops, landfall along the Gulf Coast would likely be early next week — most probably Monday or Tuesday.

It is far too soon to be able to say exactly where (or even if) the storm will make landfall, or how strong it would be.

If I was RV’ing along the Central or Western Gulf Coast I would not change my plans at this time. However, I would ensure my RV was in good working order in case I needed to move away from the coast later this weekend. I would also monitor the National Hurricane Center forecasts, either directly from their website, through local TV stations, or reputable, established weather websites.

Again, this is a ‘heads-up’ (and only a ‘heads up’) if you are on the Central or Western Gulf Coast to pay attention to the tropics over the coming weekend and into early next week.

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