Extended outlooks are more general in nature than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.
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Here is the latest short term weather forecast.
- Major coastal snowstorm from Virginia to Maine starting Friday night.
- Another significant storm for the central U.S. on Wednesday the 2nd.
- Big temperatures swings in the East late January and early February.
- Longer term, it’s looking like a mild second half of February for the Eastern U.S.
Outlook for Friday – Sunday 28-30 January:
— Storm develops Friday afternoon off the SC coast, then moves northeast, staying offshore.
— By Friday night, snow falls over much of the coastal Mid-Atlantic region.
— I-95 in NC and VA may see 1-3 inches of snow Friday night and Saturday morning.
— The snow moves into southern NY and southern New England on Saturday.
— Expect near blizzard conditions Saturday night over coastal New England, especially from Cape Cod and north, with gusts 50-60 mph along the coast.
— The NJ Turnpike and I-95 from NJ northwards will be highly impacted.
— Heaviest snows, likely 6 inches or move, will fall in a band from Tidewater VA, across the Delmarva Peninsula and much of NJ, New York City and Long Island, southern New England and coastal NH/ME.
— Although Washington DC, Baltimore and Philadelphia will see snow, right now expect only a few inches.
— Rain and higher elevation snow move into OR and WA on Sunday.
Outlook for Monday – Wednesday 31 January – 2 February:
— Monday will see continued Rain and Snow over OR and WA. Snow moves into the Northern Rockies.
— Expect strong winds Monday over much of MT and WY.
— Strong winds likely on Tuesday over southeast AZ and southwest NM.
— On Tuesday, snow spreads south along and east of I-25 from MT to CO.
— Storm develops over the Southern Plains and rain breaks out over the lower Mississippi Valley.
— Expect the storm to intensify on Wednesday.
— There will be moderate to heavy snow from NM northeastward to MI.
— Freezing rain likely over parts of the Southern Plains.
— Heavy rain, thunderstorms and the chance of severe weather over the Deep and Mid-South on Wednesday.
— The East will have a significant, if temporary warm up, with increased flooding potential from a combination of heavy rains, warmer temperatures and a melting snowpack.
Here are the temperature, precipitation and snowfall outlooks for Friday – Wednesday 28 January – 2 February
Temperature and precipitation outlooks for Tuesday – Saturday 1-5 February
Temperature and precipitation outlooks for Thursday – Wednesday 3-9 February