Extended outlooks are more general in nature than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.
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Here is the latest short term weather forecast.
- Full-on Winter for the East the next 10-15 days.
- Traveling between the Northeast and South will likely require at least one night of camping in the teens (or colder). Pick your weather window carefully.
- Friday travel on I-95 in the Carolinas will likely be very difficult.
- Arctic surges move into the East, Southeast and Gulf Coast this Friday / Saturday (21st-22nd) and again Wednesday / Thursday (26th-27th). Expect more frozen precipitation into the Deep South.
- Potential for significant snow event in the Ohio Valley and Northeast next Tuesday / Wednesday (25-26 January).
- The West remains mostly dry with seasonable temperatures.
Outlook for Friday – Sunday 21-23 January:
— On Friday and Friday night an Atlantic storm brushes NC and Tidewater VA with freezing rain and snow. I-95 impacted in the Carolinas.
— Snow also across the Northern Plains and CO Rockies
— On Sunday, snow moves into the Great Lakes, followed by Lake Effect snow bands setting up downwind in the favored locations.
— Sunday will also see snow move into the Midwest with a clipper-type system.
— Dry throughout this period for the West Coast
Outlook for Monday – Wednesday 24-26 January:
— On Sunday night and Monday, the next snowstorm dives into the Norther Plains and into the Great Lakes.
— There is potential for a significant southern storm to develop over TX Monday night and Tuesday.
— This storm will bring heavy rain to the Gulf Coast, freezing rain to the Mid-South and Mid-Atlantic states, while snow spreads from the Ohio River Valley into the Northeast.
— On Wednesday this storm clears the Northeast.
— Still dry along the West Coast.
Here are the temperature, precipitation and snowfall outlooks for Friday – Wednesday 21-26 January
Temperature and precipitation outlooks for Tuesday – Saturday 25-29 January
Temperature and precipitation outlooks for Thursday – Wednesday 27 January – 2 February