Extended outlooks are more general in nature than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.
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Here is the latest short term weather forecast.
- Major storm for the East this weekend. Snow for the Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Heavy rain and chance for severe thunderstorms for the Southeast.
- Unusually cold temperatures for Texas, the Southern Plains and the East this weekend but temperatures rebound to near normal by early next week.
- Big warmup for the Central and Eastern U.S. starting Wednesday March 16th.
Outlook for Friday – Sunday 11-13 March:
— Friday sees low pressure develop over the Southern Plains.
— Rain forms over eastern TX and snow extends north and eastward into the Ohio Valley.
— On Saturday, the storm intensifies.
— Heavy rain and perhaps some severe weather over the Southeast.
— Heavy wet snow along the Appalachians / I-81 and into the Northeast.
— This will be a major snowstorm for upstate NY and interior New England.
— Sunday will see rain and snow moving into the Pacific Northwest.
— Also on Sunday, a weak clipper system will brings some rain and snow to PA and NY.
Outlook for Monday – Wednesday 14-16 March:
— On Monday, more rain for WA, northern ID and northwest MT. Also rain for coastal CA north of San Francisco and for coastal OR.
— The next low pressure system develops on Monday over the lower Mississippi Valley.
— Rain continues on the West Coast on Tuesday, from San Francisco northwards. Snow levels will be high.
— Rain spreads through the Southeast and into the Mid-South and Midwest.
— On Wednesday, the rain and snow move off the East Coast.
— A mix of rain and snow for the northern and central Rockies.
Here are the temperature, precipitation and snowfall outlooks for Friday – Wednesday 11-16 March
Severe weather risk Friday and Friday night 11 March 
Winter weather travel risk for RV’s Friday and Friday night 11 March 
Severe weather risk Saturday and Saturday night 12 March 
Winter weather travel risk for RV’s Saturday and Saturday night 12 March 
Wind Gusts Saturday afternoon 12 March 
Winter weather travel risk for RV’s Sunday and Sunday night 13 March 
Expected snowfall amounts through Wednesday night 16 March 
Expected total precipitation amounts through Wednesday night 16 March 
Precipitation amounts relative to normal through Wednesday 16 March.
Blue and green is wetter than normal; brown and red is drier than normal.
5-day average temperatures, relative to normal, Saturday through Wednesday 12-16 March
Temperature and precipitation outlooks for Tuesday – Saturday 15-19 March
Temperature and precipitation outlooks for Thursday – Wednesday 17-23 March
