Travel & RV Weather Extended Outlook through Tuesday 7 March

Extended outlooks are more general in nature and higher level than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.

Click here for animations of the coming week’s weather, updated daily.

Revenge of the Groundhog?!

Big Picture through the weekend and into early next week

  • Revenge of the Groundhog?!
    • Big storm moves out of the Southwest, across the Plains and into the Great Lakes Thursday and Friday.
    • Severe threat Thursday and Friday from east Texas to the Southeast, but no severe thunderstorms Saturday – Tuesday.
    • Look out for high winds over west Texas on Thursday, and across the Mid-South, Ohio and mid-Mississippi Valleys on Friday.
  • Still cold in the West, west of I-35.
  • Generally warm in the East – average temperatures for New England.
  • Drier than normal over the Pacific Northwest, Gulf Coast, Florida and the Southeast.
  • Wetter than normal over California, the Great Basin and the Southwest, the Central Plains, Great Lakes and Northeast. Wetter than normal also over the mid-South and southern Appalachians.
  • Outlook through mid-March: Colder than normal for much of the country. West coast probably has at least one more prolonged stormy period.

Details (courtesy of the National Weather Service):

  • Heavy snow across the upper Midwest through the lower Great Lakes and central New England, as
    well as the Cascades and the Olympic Mountains, Fri-Sat, Mar 3-Mar 4.
  • Heavy precipitation across the Midwest through the lower Great Lakes, the central Appalachians
    and southern New England, Fri, Mar 3.
  • Heavy rain across portions of coastal northern California into coastal southwestern Oregon, Sat,
    Mar 4.
  • Heavy rain across the Midwest, through the northern Mid-Atlantic and across coastal southern New
    England, Fri, Mar 3.
  • Heavy snow across the higher elevations of northern California including the Sierra Nevada,
    Sat-Sun, Mar 4-Mar 5.
  • Heavy snow along the Sierra Nevada, Tue, Mar 7.
  • Severe weather across portions of the Southeast, into the Tennessee Valley, the Carolinas, and
    the southern Appalachians, Fri, Mar 3.
  • Freezing rain across central and western New York, and into northern Pennsylvania, Fri, Mar 3.
  • High winds across portions of the middle Mississippi Valley.
  • Flooding possible across portions of the upper Mississippi Valley.
  • Flooding likely across portions of the middle Mississippi Valley.
  • Much below normal temperatures across the central Great Basin, into the northern Rockies,
    Fri-Sat, Mar 3-Mar 4 and Mon-Tue, Mar 6-Mar 7.
  • Much below normal temperatures across portions of the southern Great Basin into the Four Corners
    region, Fri-Sat, Mar 3-Mar 4.
  • Much below normal temperatures across portions of the northern Plains into the northern Rockies,
    Mon-Tue, Mar 6-Mar 7.

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