RV Weather Enterprises

Extended outlooks are more general in nature and higher level than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.

Click here for animations of the coming week’s weather, updated daily.

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Big Picture for the end of this week and into early next week:

• Active, but not crazy, weather across the country this period.
• Weak disturbance moves onshore along the Louisiana coast Thursday and brings heavy rain and isolated severe thunderstorms to the Southeast.
• Storm system coming out of the Rockies develops Thursday night over the Southern Plains, and moves to the western Great Lakes by Sunday.
• This system will have cold rain mixed with snow to its north and showers and thunderstorms, some possibly severe, over the southern Plains into the lower Mississippi Valley.
• A wet snowstorm possible for Wisconsin this coming Sunday and Monday.
• Maybe some severe weather over the Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley Friday and Saturday, respectively.

Temperature and Precipitation Outlook:

• Lots of temperature variability across much of the US this period.
• We start off with cooler than average temperatures in the West and Southeast. Very warm across the Central Plains, Great Lakes, and Northeast.
• By early next week it will be cooler than normal from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast. Warmer than average across the Southwest, Rockies and Western Plains.
• Most of the country will be relatively dry.
• Wetter than average across the Southeast and Florida, and the Northwest.

Highlights by day (11-16 April):

1. Thursday:
   • Snow for much of Montana.
   • Windy over Colorado, New Mexico and the Central Plains.
   • Disturbance moves inland over Louisiana, bringing rain, heavy at times, to the the Southeast.
   • Isolated severe thunderstorms over the Southeast.
2. Friday:
   • Possible severe thunderstorms for the Southern Plains.
   • Strong winds over New Mexico.
3. Saturday:
   • Low pressure intensifies over the Plains.
   • Isolated severe thunderstorms for the Mississippi Valley.
   • Rain, showers and thunderstorms across the Mississippi Valley into the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic region.
4. Sunday:
   • Rain, rain showers, and thunderstorms for much of the East (except New England).
   • Strong winds over Minnesota, Iowa, and northern Illinois.
   • Maybe a wet snowstorm for Wisconsin and the Michigan Upper Peninsula.
   • Rain for the Pacific Northwest.
5. Monday:
   • Strong winds from Iowa and southern Minnesota, across Illinois and Indiana to Ohio, West Virginia and Kentucky.
   • Rain, wind and mountain snows for Oregon.
6. Tuesday:
   • Rain and high elevation snow for the Pacific Northwest.
   • Rain for New England.
   • Lingering showers for the remainder of the Northeast and the Mid-Atlantic.

Outlook for the latter part of April (a 2-4 week outlook is by definition low confidence!):

• Continued wetter than average for the Pacific Northwest.
• Dry over much of the East. However, the central Gulf Coast and Florida will likely see average or above average precipitation.
• Cool for the West and Southeast. Warmer than average for the Southern and Western Plains.