Travel & RV Weather Extended Outlook through Thursday 9 March

Extended outlooks are more general in nature and higher level than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.

Click here for animations of the coming week’s weather, updated daily.

Big Picture through the weekend and into early next week

  • Major storm exits New England on Saturday
  • Another big storm for the West Coast this weekend.
  • Active weather pattern with several ‘average’ storms likely next week across the Northern US.
  • Some rain for Florida early next week.
  • The blindfolded (and possibly drunk) monkeys took over the forecast office for next Wednesday’s and Thursday’s forecast
    • More technically, there is low confidence and a lot of disagreement between the better weather models on the weather pattern starting the middle of next week
    • Maybe a significant storm develops over the Central Plains, with snow in the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes, and heavy rain and severe weather in the Deep South.
    • Or … maybe not.
  • One thing we know: it stays cold in the West
  • Florida and northern New England will be warmer than normal.
  • Generally warm in the East, but cooling down by mid-week.
  • Wetter than normal over California, the Great Basin and the Southwest, the Central Plains, Great Lakes and Northeast. Wetter than normal also over the mid-South and southern Appalachians.
  • Drier than normal for Southern California (I do not think many will complain), the Southwest, and Florida.
  • Outlook through mid-March: Colder than normal for much of the country. Wet in the West and west in the East south of I-40.

Outlook from the 10th to the middle of March (aka Groundhog’s Revenge):

  • Colder than normal over all the Continental US.
  • Wet and probably snowy out west. Wetter than normal south of I-40 and west of I-35.

Details (courtesy of the National Weather Service):

  • Heavy snow across portions of California and the Pacific Northwest, Sun-Tue, Mar 5-Mar 7.
  • Heavy snow across portions of California, the Central Great Basin, and the Pacific Northwest,
    Sun, Mar 5.
  • Heavy snow across portions of the Central Rockies and the Central Plains, Tue, Mar 7.
  • Heavy snow across portions of the Upper Great Lakes, the Upper Mississippi Valley, and the
    Northern Plains, Sun-Mon, Mar 5-Mar 6.
  • Flooding possible across portions of the Valley, the Southern Plains, the Great Lakes, and the
    Ohio Valley.
  • Flooding occurring or imminent across portions of the Middle Mississippi Valley and the Upper
    Mississippi Valley.
  • Flooding likely across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley and the Southern Plains.
  • Much below normal temperatures across portions of the Central Plains, the Great Basin, the
    Northern Plains, the Northern Rockies, the Central Rockies, California, the Pacific Northwest, and
    the Southwest, Sun-Thu, Mar 5-Mar 9.
  • Much below normal temperatures across portions of the Southern Rockies, the Central Rockies, the
    Central Plains, the Southern Plains, and the Northern Plains, Wed-Thu, Mar 8-Mar 9.

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