Travel & RV Weather Extended Outlook through Sunday 5 March

Extended outlooks are more general in nature and higher level than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.

Click here for animations of the coming week’s weather, updated daily.

Big Picture for this week and next weekend:

  • Little change in the storm track through the first week in March
    • No more blizzards for southern California, but plenty of snow for the Cascades, the Sierra Nevada, and the California northern coastal ranges.
    • Cold in the West, west of I-35.
    • Generally warm in the East – but maybe a northeast snowstorm at the end of the week for the big cities? Low confidence but a growing possibility.
  • Significant severe weather threat over the Deep South and then the Southeast Thursday and Friday, respectively.
  • High winds on Wednesday over New Mexico.
  • High winds over much of Texas on Thursday.
  • High winds Tennessee Valley and the Southeast on Friday.
  • Tricky snow forecast for the East at the end of the week
    • Storm either goes up the Ohio Valley, bringing snow to the Midwest, Northern NY and northern New England
    • Or takes a more easterly track, bringing snow to much of the Northeast, including NYC and Boston.
  • Dry still over the Northern Plains, much of Texas, the Southeast, Gulf Coast and Florida
  • Wetter than normal over the West, Central Plains, Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

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