RV Weather

• Slow moving upper air pattern leads to weather that changes little from day to day for any individual location.
• Coastal storm brings rain and wind to the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic for the first part of the holiday weekend.
• Daily chances of scattered severe thunderstorms through Monday.

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Extended outlooks are more general in nature and higher level than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.

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Changes are coming to RV Weather! Please check out my blog post to see what the future holds…

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Click here for animations of the coming week’s weather, updated daily.

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From the RV Weather Summer Office in Moose Wyoming

Big Picture for this coming weekend, and the first part of next week:

• Slow moving upper air pattern leads to weather that changes little from day to day for any individual location.
• Coastal storm brings rain and wind to the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic for the first part of the holiday weekend.
• Daily chances of scattered severe thunderstorms through Monday. Most will be east of the southern Rockies or over the Central and Southern High Plains. Minimal chance for severe thunderstorms starting Tuesday.
• Southern California and the Southwest may be in for a prolonged period of below normal temperatures.

Temperature and Precipitation Outlook:

• Warmer than normal over the northern half of the U.S.
• Cooler than normal for the California coast, Southern California, the southern High Plains and Texas.
• Cooler than normal for the Mid-Atlantic Region, the Southeast and Florida.
• Wetter than normal from Nevada to Montana, and the central and southern High Plains.
• Wetter than normal for the Carolinas and Virginia.
• Drier than normal for the Mississippi Valley, Midwest, much of the Southeast, Northeast, and Pacific Northwest.

Highlights by day (27 May – 1 June):

1. Saturday:
   • Strong winds for the Southeast coast, slowly easing by evening.
   • Heavy rain across South Carolina, North Carolina and adjacent Virginia.
   • High temperatures struggle to reach 60 deg F across western and central North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.
   • Isolated severe thunderstorms possible across the High Plains from Canada to Mexico.
   • P.M. showers and thunderstorms for northeast California, interior Oregon, northern Nevada, the Rockies and Plains.
2. Sunday:
   • Heavy rain across much of North Carolina and adjacent southern Virginia.
   • P.M. showers and thunderstorms for northeast California, northern Nevada, the northern Rockies and High Plains.
3. Monday (Memorial Day):
   • Rain and rain showers for North Carolina, Virginia and the southern DELMARVA Peninsula.
   • P.M. showers and thunderstorms for northeast California, Inter-mountain West, northern Plains and central Texas.
4. Tuesday:
   • Lingering rain and showers for North Carolina, Virginia and the DELMARVA Peninsula.
   • P.M. showers and thunderstorms for Utah, Wyoming and the High Plains.
   • Potentially heavy rains for the Texas Gulf Coast.
5. Wednesday:
   • Scattered p.m. showers and thunderstorms from the Mississippi River westward to the Rockies and Great Basin.
6. Thursday:
   • Shower and thunderstorms likely to be heaviest from western Texas, through the Central Plains and into the Upper Midwest.
7. Click here for the latest National Weather Service 3-7 Day outlook

Outlook for the first half of June (a 2-4 week outlook is by definition low confidence!):

• By early June:
  • Warmer than normal over much of the Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies, Northern Plains and Upper Midwest.
  • Cooler than normal over much of central and southern California, the Southwest, the central and southern Rockies and the central and southern Plains.
  • Seasonally cool for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region.
  • Drier than normal for the Upper Midwest, upper and mid-Mississippi Valley, Midwest and Ohio Valley, Pennsylvania and New York.
• Through mid-June:
  • Warmer than average over the Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies, much of the Mississippi Valley, the Midwest and Northeast.
  • Cooler than average over much of California, the Great Basin, the Four Corners States and the Texas Panhandle.
  • Drier than average throughout the Mississippi Valley.