Thanksgiving Week Travel & RV Weather Outlook updated p.m. Friday 19 November 2021

Extended outlooks are more general in nature than the daily short term forecasts. Beyond a week, there is often significant uncertainty in the location and intensity of specific weather events. I will note where there is less, or greater, confidence than normal in these extended outlooks.

For more information, check out the latest weather animations.

Here is the latest short term weather forecast.

  • No big snowstorms impacting travel for Thanksgiving week.
    • Some lake effect snows Monday night and Tuesday, and possibly Thursday night / Friday.
  • Several storms impact the West with heavy rains and gusty winds.
  • Several pulses of high winds over the Northern Rockies on Tuesday, Thursday and Sunday (28th).
  • Cooler than average in the East; warmer than average in the West.

Outlook for Saturday 20 November – Wednesday 24 November:

— Storm develops over the western Great Lakes Sunday evening and moves up the St. Lawrence valley by Monday night.

— Rain, some heavy, in the Northeast Sunday night and Monday.

— Lake effect snows develop over Michigan Monday, then move east to Monday night and Tuesday morning.

— Rain and mountain snows for the Pacific Northwest Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning.

— In general, warmer than normal over the Southern Plains, the Rockies and the Southwest. Cooler than normal over much of the East.

Outlook for Thanksgiving Day 25 November – Sunday 28 November:

— Rain develops Wednesday night and Thursday over east TX and the lower Mississippi River Valley.

— Pacific storms Thursday and Saturday. CA now looks to stay mostly dry.

— Still uncertainty with regards to the Thanksgiving TX low. But the mid- and deep-South and lower Ohio River Valley should be prepared for unsettled conditions late Thanksgiving week and weekend.

— Possibility of a clipper-like low bringing light snow to the upper Midwest Saturday and Sunday.

— Similar temperature pattern as described earlier: Cooler than average over the East, warmer than average over the West.

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