Remnants of Fred: Tropical update for Florida and the Southeast: a.m. Sunday 15 August 2021

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Tropical Storm Watch in effect for the FL Panhandle — expect this Watch to be upgraded to a Warning today

This morning, the remnants of Fred are located about 390 miles south-southeast Pensacola FL, moving to the north-northwest at 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 40 mph. Overnight Fred has shown signs of reorganizing; expect it will regain its “tropical storm” status later today.

By Monday, Fred should make its presence felt along much of the FL Panhandle coast. Tropical storm conditions are likely with strong winds, heavy rain and a modest storm surge. Most if not all the rain will be to the east of Fred’s center. Heavy rains and associated Flash Flooding will be the primary impact of Fred.

By early next week, Fred’s heavy rains will likely spread northward into the Southeast, Southern and Central Appalachians, and the Piedmont region. Rainfall amounts could exceed 4 inches in parts of northern GA, upstate SC and western NC.

If I was RV’ing or planning to RV along the FL Panhandle, I would be prepared for rain and gusty winds. If my campsite was on the Gulf in a place known for Storm Surge I might pick another another campground. Anyone RV’ing in the southern Appalachians or Piedmont region early this week should be prepared for heavy rains and talk to the campground host about flash flooding potential. As always, please follow the advice and directions of your local Emergency Managers.

Please pay attention to the forecasts, either from the National Hurricane Center, local TV weather forecasters, or reputable, established weather websites.

Tropical Storm Grace might brush the FL Keys in a few days, but, like Fred, its outlook is not certain given its future interaction with the high terrain of Hispaniola and Cuba. More on Grace (if needed) in a few days.

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