- Heat wave slowly eases for Texas by early July, but the heat then builds into the Southwest and into much of the West.
- The East should prepare for a 4th of July weekend with showers and thunderstorms.
- Showers and thunderstorms decrease over much of the Rockies by the 1st of July.
Category: Long range forecasts
Periodic longer range weather forecast outlooks
Travel and RV Weather Extended Outlook through Thursday 29 June
- The overall pattern is not changing very much: Stubborn heat locked in over Louisiana, Texas and New Mexico.
- More rain for the northern Rockies; rain for the northern Plains and much of the East.
- Quick start to the Atlantic hurricane season, but the upper air pattern keeps storms away from the U.S.
Travel and RV Weather Extended Outlook through Sunday 25 June
- Not much change in the overall pattern: Relatively cool and west in the Northwest and Southeast. Warm and dry in the central U.S. Hot for Texas and New Mexico.
- Severe weather persists, but should be less intense this coming week.
- The tropics are starting to look like August rather than June.
Travel and RV Weather Extended Outlook through Thursday 22 June
- Upper level low pressure systems over the East and West Coasts, with a warm, dry ridge of high pressure in the middle anchored over Texas, will determine much of the next few days’ weather.
- A well defined cold front pushes through the Inter-Mountain West early next week, bringing cooler temperatures, rain and a chance for high-elevation snow.
- Heat remains locked in over Texas throughout next week.
Travel and RV Weather Extended Outlook through Sunday 18 June
- Windy in the West, Rain in the South, Hot in Texas.
- Potential for severe thunderstorms decreases after Thursday.
- Tropics remain quiet.
Travel and RV Weather Extended Outlook through Thursday 15 June
- Much needed rain for the Midwest and eastern U.S. this weekend and early next week.
- Strong winds will reappear from time to time over much of the country.
- Severe thunderstorms expected over the Southern Plains on Saturday and into the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast on Sunday.
Travel and RV Weather Extended Outlook through Sunday 11 June
- The upper atmosphere ‘blocking pattern’, which has resulted in very little change in the weather for the past week or more, should start to break down mid-week.
- We will then have a messy transition through the middle of the month, before the jet stream again looks ‘normal’ over the U.S.
- Chance of some significant severe weather next weekend over the Southern Plains.
Travel and RV Weather Extended Outlook through Thursday 8 June
- Today is the first day of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season and on cue, Tropical Depression 02 has formed in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico. Minimal threat to the U.S. coastline.
- High pressure still anchored firmly over the Central U.S. Only slow changes in the day-to-day weather.
- Chances for organized severe thunderstorms are low throughout this period.
Travel and RV Weather Extended Outlook through Tuesday 6 June
- “What you have is what you got.” Big, blocking high pressure over the center of the country will slow down the weather patterns this period.
- Low pressure system likely to develop over Florida this weekend, the move off the Southeast Coast. There is a slight (10%) chance this system could develop tropical characteristics.
- Daily showers and thunderstorms for the Rockies and western High Plains, Great Basin and California Sierra Nevada mountains.
Travel and RV Weather Extended Outlook through Sunday 4 June.
- Back to the future? By the end of the week, the atmosphere could revert to the pattern we just had this past week: extensive showers, thunderstorms and some severe weather in the Rockies and High Plains, a coastal low over the Southeast, and dry conditions for the Midwest and Northeast.
- Increased chance of severe thunderstorm potential the latter half of this week over the southern High Plains, central and southern Texas.